
Assigned to house arrest, Jair Bolsonaro finds himself at the heart of an unprecedented judicial storm. Dive into the heart of a political crisis that shakes Brazil’s democracy. Indeed, it is characterized by explosive accusations. Moreover, scandalous international alliances and political maneuvers worthy of a noir novel are intertwined.

Jair Bolsonaro: the former president of Brazil brought to heel by justice
The Brazilian judiciary has just dealt a decisive blow to Jair Bolsonaro, former president of Brazil. On Monday, the Supreme Court ordered house arrest for this controversial leader. Judge Alexandre de Moraes accuses Bolsonaro of violating preventive judicial measures. Thus, he finds himself deprived of his freedom of movement, a first for a Brazilian president.
The magistrate reproaches Bolsonaro for inciting, through his sons, his supporters to mobilize. These actions notably targeted demonstrations in Copacabana and São Paulo. The judge sees it as an explicit attempt to pressure the country’s judicial institutions.
Brazil under tension: a presidency in permanent crisis
The political climate in Brazil remains incandescent since Bolsonaro’s defeat to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, the current president of Brazil, in 2022. The country remains deeply divided. The violent demonstrations of January 2023, which saw the invasion of official institutions in Brasilia, still haunt memories. The judiciary had since increased its vigilance towards the former president and his close collaborators.
Strict measures against the former president of Brazil
Since mid-July, the former army captain and former president of Brazil has been subjected to significant restrictions: electronic bracelet, obligation to stay at home in Brasilia in the evening and on weekends. However, a new measure, as radical as it is humiliating, now prohibits him from any use of a mobile phone. His only authorized contacts are his lawyers and close family.
Judge Moraes, relentless, warned that any deviation would be followed by immediate detention. Judicial control over Bolsonaro is total.
The serious accusations against the former president
Bolsonaro is accused of attempting to organize a coup to overturn the election results. More worryingly, he allegedly led a criminal organization aiming to assassinate political figures, including Lula, the current president of Brazil, and Judge Moraes himself.
Prosecutors assert that Bolsonaro wanted to manipulate his electoral base to destabilize Congress and the Supreme Court. Now isolated, his public influence is reduced to nothing.
Carla Zambelli: a burdensome ally arrested in Rome
In this political thriller climate, the Carla Zambelli case adds to the drama. A close ally of Bolsonaro, this controversial deputy was arrested in Rome. Suspected of recruiting a hacker to attack Judge Moraes, she thought she could continue her political career in Italy after fleeing Brazil via Argentina and the United States. But that was without counting on international judicial cooperation. She now risks extradition to her country of origin.

The scandalous support of Donald Trump and diplomatic tensions
International reactions were swift. Donald Trump, an avowed ally of the former Brazilian president, denounces a "witch hunt." In retaliation, he imposed a 50% tax on certain Brazilian products. The U.S. Department of State, for its part, accuses Judge Moraes of serious human rights violations, provoking unprecedented diplomatic tension between the United States and Brazil.
The Brazilian presidency facing judicial history
The trial of Bolsonaro is a first in the country’s history. The former Brazilian president is already ineligible until 2030. Indeed, he spread lies about the electoral system. Moreover, he now risks more than 40 years in prison. However, he is not the first to be troubled: Lula, the current president of Brazil, was also imprisoned before the Supreme Court annulled his conviction. In Brazil, politics and scandal seem to form a well-entrenched tradition.

A Brazilian society fractured by the political crisis
The latest developments reveal a deeply divided society. For some, Bolsonaro remains the hero defender of freedoms. For others, he embodies authoritarian excesses. The economic crisis, exacerbated by American taxation, reinforces the distrust of a part of the economic elites towards the former president.
What future for Jair Bolsonaro and the presidency of Brazil?
The future of Jair Bolsonaro now entirely depends on the judges of the Supreme Court. This case cruelly highlights the democratic fragilities of the country. As tension remains high, between activism from Bolsonaro’s supporters and international pressures, the presidency of Brazil enters an uncertain period. Whatever the verdict, Brazilian democracy will have to contend with the aftermath of this historic crisis for a long time.